Thursday, October 22, 2009

Realmadrid 2:3 AC Milan

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

FC Zurich vs Olympique Marseille
Uefa Champions League, 20h45
These are the teams that conceded the most in the first two matches of the competition, five times each. Also, Swiss teams have lost the last 6 games held at home in the UCL. OM has lost its last 6 away games also.
But there is a sheer difference in quality between these sides, which recommends Didier Deschamps' troops to prevail tonight.
I tip OM to beat Zurich, at values around evens.
Realmadrid vs AC Milan
Uefa Champions League, 20h45
This will be the showdown between the two most famous clubs in Europe and in the world, I should add. These two have won UCL the most times. The Spaniards have won it 9 times, while the Italians have triumphed 7 times. That is huge.
Realmadrid has spent the most this summer, bringing in player worth 300 million Euros. Kaka, Cristiano Ronaldo, Benzema, Xabi Alonso, Raul Albiol are the most important of them. The Merengues have also appointed coach Manuel PelLegrini, who has the job to bring them to the UCL Final which will be held at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium next May. Realmadrid has scored 8 times in two games in this competition. Cristiano Ronaldo is the only big absentee.
Milan had it tough after the departures of superstar Kaka and coach Carlo Ancelotti in the summer. Leonardo had to imagine a team without the Brazilian forward, but had to deal also with the ageing squad. Still he managed the revival of Pippo Inzaghi who will play for the first time at the Bernabeu at 36. The striker is one goal away from equaling Gerd Mueller's record of goals scored in European competitions. Pato has its chance to star tonight for the Rossoneri, who are huge underdogs tonight. Milan has not won in the last five games played in Spain in this competition scoring just twice in the process.
I tip a win for Realmadrid, valued at 1/2.
Liverpool 1:2 Lyon
Debrecen 3:4 Fiorentina
Stuttgart 1:3 Sevilla

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Liverpool vs Lyon
Uefa Champions League, 20h45
Liverpool has lost two games in a row and seems to be in trouble. Gerrard is back from injury, but Torres will miss tonight's game. It is obvious for me that the Reds have lost quality and balance with the sale of Xabi Alonso to Real Madrid. Lucas cannot fill the void. Never.
Liverpool will travel to Manchester United at the weekend.
Lyon had a good start of the campaign, but lost its first game on Saturday at home to Sochaux. Pjanic is in great form in UCL, as he has contributed to 4 of the 5 goals scored by the French side.
Liverpool has lost only one game at home in this competition since 2002 and that was against French opposition, Olympique Marseille in 2007.
I tip Lyon to score at least once tonight, valued at 1/2.
Debrecen vs Fiorentina
Uefa Champions League, 20h45
Debrecen has lost two from two in this season UCL, conceding 5 goals in the process. A Hungarian newspaper has offered a sum of money for the first goal in UCL for Debrecen. They are the team that was most shot at, 35 times. No Hungarian side has won a home match in this competition.
Fiorentina has a good start of the season. Having just drawn 1-1 at Juventus and having beaten Liverpool 2-0 in the UCL. Jovetic is the man that scored Viola's last 3 goals in this competition while Mutu is waiting around the corner to get his chance. Gilardino and Vargas are in top form, so do expect an Italian win tonight.
I tip Fiorentina to win, at 1/2.
Stuttgart vs Sevilla
Uefa Champions League, 20h45
Stuttgart is in all sorts of problems this season, as they are in the relegation zone of the domestic league. In the UCL they managed 2 draws, at home to Rangers and at Unirea. Marcus Babbel is not an experienced coach, Hleb has trouble settling in the area and Mario Gomez is a huge loss for them. Stuttgart has won only one of the last 11 games played in this competition in addition to always conceding in the last 8 outings. These two played each other in last year's Uefa Cup. Sevilla won 2-0.
Sevilla has a very good start of the season. They are 3rd in La Liga, only losing twice. They have a very good record in this competition, where they've won twice, scoring 6 and conceding once in the process. With a win tonight they are virtually through to the next round.
Negredo, Palop and Renato are missing out this game, while Luis Fabiano is coming back after he was rested at the week-end. The Andalusians have two men on every position and that is why I think they will go all the way in this competition, battling out for the title.
I predict a win for Sevilla, which is rated at 7/6.

Sunday, October 04, 2009

Sevilla 2:1 Realmadrid
Sevilla vs Real Madrid
Spanish Primera Division, 21h00
Sevilla will be a very tough opposition for the new Realmadrid. The Andalusians have always given los Merengues a good match. As a testimony you can look at the stats which say that in the last five games there have been more than 5 goals per match between them. That is really huge.
Sevilla is 3rd while Realmadrid is just above them. Cristiano Ronaldo is the only big name that will miss this game. As of that Granero and Raul will begin this game alongside Kaka and Benzema. They will be supplied by the likes of Guti and Xabi Alonso.
Sevilla will start with the usual attacking formation: Renato, Jesus Navas and Perrotti supporting Kanoute and Luis Fabiano.
Realmadrid beat OM 3-0 and Sevilla won 4-1 at Rangers in the midweek Champions League games.
I predict an over in this game (more than 2 goals), valued at 6/11.

Friday, October 02, 2009

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Porto vs Atletico Madrid
Uefa Champions League, Wednesday 20h45
Atletico are on a terible 7 games-run without winning. That is very dangerous for coach Abel Resino. He has such quality in attack in Forlan and Aguero, Simao and Maxi Rodriguez, but it seems they cannot block opposition attacks at the moment.
Porto has ousted Atletico in last year's first knock-out round after 2 draws. It finished 2-2 in Spain and 0-0 in Portugal. Porto has not lost in its last 5 games against Spanish opposition, 4 being draws and a win. Porto has only won 2 of the last 15 games against Spanish opposition in the European Cups. Atletico has not lost in its last 9 games in this competition. While Porto has not scored in 3 of its last 4 matches.
Porto has virtually no absentees while Atletico will have to do without Asenjo, Raul Garcia, Ignacio Camacho, Pernia and Valera.
I tip Porto to win, at 9/10.

Friday, September 25, 2009

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Genoa vs Juventus
Italian Serie A, 20h45
This is another brilliant match in the Italian top-flight. Two very strong teams lock horns at Marassi Stadium.
Ciro Ferrara is the new Juventus coach and has managed a perfect start with 4 wins, two of them coming at rivals AS Roma and Lazio both in the capital city. Diego was essential, but now he is unavailable through injury, as are Del Piero, Tiago, Sissoko and Cannavaro, just to mark the most important of them. So it will be very hard for the Old lady to come away with all the points.
Genoa had a good start with three wins and a loss, beating Napoli and Roma in the process, both at home. They had a very good transfer market bringing in Hernan Crespo and Rodrigo Palacio, as well as Floccari and Amelia. Coach Gasperrini made a very good job at Genoa. They are playing in the group stage of the Europa League. The only absentees are Criscito, Juric and Stankovic.
As for the stats, Genoa has won 6 of its last 8 home games. Juventus lost its last game away at Genoa in April. Genoa has received the highest number of penalty decisions, three. All of which were converted.
I tip Genoa not to lose, at 2/3.
Fiorentina 2:0 Sampdoria
Villarreal 0:2 Realmadrid
Inter 3:1 Napoli

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Inter vs Napoli
Italian Serie A, 20h45
These are two of the best teams in the history of the Italian football. Napoli had its golden age in the late 80s when Maradona played there.
Now it's Mourinho against Donadoni and Eto'o vs Lavezzi. Luis Figo stated that this Inter team is a great one, with the addition of the Camerun striker. They are candidates to win the most coveted trophy in Europe.
Inter had a good start of the season. The partnership between Milito and Eto'o is looking great at the moment, while Sneijder and Stankovic provide the assists. In Julio Cesar they have a great keeper while Lucio is a rock in defence.
Napoli bought Quagliarella in the summer but are not getting the goods yet. They had a poor start of the campaign and go to a stadium where they didn't win for 15 years. Rinaudo and Campagnaro will both miss the trip to Milano.
I tip Inter to win, at 1/2.
Fiorentina vs Sampdoria
Italian Serie A, 20h45
Both teams had a good start of the campaign, but mostly the Bluecerchiatti. Luigi del Neri's men managed a perfect 4 match winning run and find themselves top of the table.
Sampdoria has a great striker partnership in Cassano and Pazzini, who is coming back to haunt his previous team. He left Viola when Gilardino was transferred from Milan, as he lost his place in the starting eleven. Still Doria will miss Semioli, who also played a couple of season's in the opposite side's jersey. Palombo has taken a knock and it's uncertain if he plays from the off.
Fiorentina lost 1-3 at Olimpico to Roma on Sunday in a match "they never showed up for" as coach Prandelli said afterwards. Mutu wasn't at his best, while Vargas was injured. Still, the Peruvian starlet is back and will play.
Fiorentina has won 8 of its last 9 home outings. The last four were by the same score, 1-0. Both encounters of last season between these two finished 1-0 for the Viola. Prandelli has 8 wins over del Neri and 1 defeat.
I tip Fiorentina to win, at 11/10.
Villarreal vs Realmadrid
Spanish Primera Division, 20h00
This will be the first stern test for the new Realmadrid. Having signed players in excess of 250M Euros over the summer, it is expected that los Merengues aim to take the title away from Barcelona.
Realmadrid has a perfect start of the season with three wins, while Villarreal are seeking their first, after 2 draws and a defeat.
Coach Manuel Pelegrini will return to familiar surroundings as he trained Villarreal for the past 5 seasons, helping them reaching the Semifinal stage of the Champions League on two occasions.
As for the unavailable players, the guests will be without Pepe and Arbeloa, while Villarreal will certainly miss Ibagaza. Also, Senna and Nilmar are very doubtful for the Yellow Submarine.
It is expected Higuain, Guti and Granero will be given starts tonight as Raul, Benzema and Gago will figure as substitutes.
I tip Realmadrid to win, at 2/3.
Racing Santander 1:4 Barcelona

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Racing Santander vs Barcelona
Spanish Primera Division, 22h00
It was always difficult for the Blaugrana at El Sardinero Stadium, but this team is seeking perfection under Guardiola.
Racing have a decent start of the campaign, managing 4 points out of a possible 9, while the visitors have a perfect start, as do Realmadrid and Athletic Bilbao.
Abidal and Yaya Toure will return to the starting line-up, while Ibrahimovic will continue fitting in process.
I tip Barcelona to prevail a battling home side, at 5/11.

Monday, September 21, 2009

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Sampdoria 4:1 Siena
Cagliari 1:2 Inter
Vaslui vs Timisoara
Romanian Liga I, 20h45
These are two good teams in Romania, both have played in this season's European Cups, with Vaslui already eliminated. Both have young coaches.
There was a show everytime this two met. Last year's corresponding game finished 4-3 with dramatic climax. In the last 5 games between them there have been more than 4 goals per game.
Timisoara has drawn 0-0 at Amsterdam ArenA on Thursday.
Both teams are on 10 points and a win will be vital today.
I am predicting an over 2.5 goals game, valued at 8/11.
Sampdoria vs Siena
Italian Serie A, 15h00
Siena has won only once in their last 6 matches in the Italian top-flight, at Cagliari. They have the worst successful passing percentage this season 67%. The Toscans scored the most headed goals, 3. Maccarone is their best player.
Sampdoria has a perfect start of the season under new coach Del Neri. They have a great striking partnership in Cassano and Pazzini, the last of whom is the most fouled player this season, 15 times. Siena has never won at Marassi.
I predict a win for Sampdoria, at 2/3.
Cagliari vs Inter
Italian Serie A, 15h00
Cagliari started this season badly, the Sards finding them selves 18th with just a point from 3 games. Still, Allegri's men are the only who are not beaten last season against Inter, drawing at Giuseppe Meazza and winning at Sant'Ellia. They've lost striker Robert Acquafresca in the summer, who was on loan from Inter.
Inter are only on 7 points and have to win in order to keep pace with Juventus, who are on a 4 wins out of 4 start. Eto'o, Milito and Motta are great additions to the squad asa they scored five times between them some far this season. Sneijder is also a great transfer. They've drawn 0-0 in mid-week at home with Barcelona.
I predict a win today for Inter, valued at 3/5.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Maccabi Haifa vs Bayern Munich
Uefa Champions League, 20h45
This I reckon to be a walk in the park for the Bavarian outfit. They have a very good coach in Louis van Gaal and managed to keep Frank Ribery while signing Arjen Robben from Realmadrid. The hopes are high, as general manager Karl-Heinz Rummenigge wants his side to win the competition. Bayern managed an average of 2.5 goals in last season's run in this same competition, the best in the world.
Maccabi has lost both previous meeting with German sides, while Bayern have scored in 14 of their last 15 away games in the UCL.
I tip Bayern to win at a huge price for me, 1/2.

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Tottenham vs Manchester United
English Premier League, Saturday 18h30
Manchester United had a rather mediocre start of the campaign, with 3 wins and a loss. They lost Cristiano Ronaldo to Realmadrid in the summer and that is a definite minus in my eyes. Last season they have struggled away at Spurs even with the Portuguese on the pitch. I think they will suffer all evening as they take on a very talented team, a mixture of English internationals and talented foreign players.
Harry Redknapp has always tried his hardest to win against Ferguson and that will be the case again on Saturday. Another advantage for the Spurs is their current form, as they stand up-front with a 100% record four days into the season.
I tip Tottenham to upset Manchester United (X2), at 3/5.
Stoke vs Chelsea
English Premier League, Saturday 16h00
It has been a perfect start for Carlo Ancelotti's Chelsea. The Blues have won the Charity Shield against Manchester United and the first four matches in the Premier League. The last win was the most convincing (3-0 at home against Burnley), but all were impressive because of the manner they played. Chelsea had more than 20 shots at goal every single game, with the full-backs always pushing forward.
Stoke had a good start of the campaign finding themselves 5th with 2 wins, a draw and a loss. They were strong at home last season, mostly at set pieces. They play typical English football. I reckon they will find in Chelsea a formidable adversary which they will not know how to crack.
I tip Chelsea to win this one, at 5/11.

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Steaua 0:1 Dinamo
Portsmouth 0:1 Manchester City
Steaua vs Dinamo
Romanian Liga I, 19h45
This is the Derby in Romania. It brings up all the passion, all the excitement of football. It will be a feast as the two teams are in very good spirit. They've just qualified for the groups of Europa League. Dinamo did it in some spectacular fashion. They've ousted Slovan Liberec after losing 3-0 at home (the match was abandoned due to crowd invasion on the pitch), winning 3-0 away and then going through on penalties.
It will be also a Italian affair as the two coaches are both from the Peninsula. Dario Bonetti (Dinamo) played for Roma, Juventus and Milan (appearing in two Champions Cup Finals), while Cristiano Bergodi was captain at Lazio.
Both teams possess great attacking forces and questionable defensive options. That's why I think it will be an even more entertaining game of football.
I predict that Dinamo will not lose, which is valued at 6/11.
Barcelona 1:0 Shakhtar
Portsmouth vs Manchester City
English Premier League, 14h30
Portsmouth have started this campaign in a dreadful manner. They managed to score just once, conceding six as they won none and lost three in the process. They were bought by a sheik this week, but nevertheless I do not think they have time to steady themselves just yet.
City have made big spendings in the transfer market. They caught the imagination of their fans by bringing in Gareth Barry, Roque Santa Cruz, Carlos Tevez, Kolo Toure and Emanuel Adebayor. They won both matches they've played this season, scoring three and conceding none in the process. I think the Sky Blues will have too much for the hosts today.
I predict a win for City, valued at 3/5.

Friday, August 28, 2009

Barcelona vs Shakhtar
European Super Cup, Monte Carlo
Tonight it's the Uefa Champions League Winners against the Uefa Cup holders. Pep Guardiola has won all competition he entered with Barca last season, while Mircea Lucescu has already won this fixture once, with Galatasaray ten years ago.
The Spaniard said that his players should be aware that Uefa Cup winners have won this fixture seven times, as Champions League winners won it just four times.
Lucescu will have all his Brazilian attacking players as his disposal. They will come up against the most feared attacking force in Europe last season, Messi, Henry & Co.
I am expecting a surprise tonight, but my bet will be a safe one.
I tip Shakhtar to score at least once. The value is 7/11.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Monday, August 24, 2009

Liverpool vs Aston Villa
English Premier League, 21h00
Liverpool are tipped alongside Chelsea with a good change of claiming the Premier League honours come the end of the season. They didn't do well at all in the transfer market as they lost Arbeloa and Xabi Alonso to Real Madrid. This was one of the arguments of the loss at Tottenham in the opening day of the season. Since then, the Reds managed a 4-0 thumping of Stoke at Anfield and seem back on track. Aston Villa had a poor transfer market also. They've lost captain Gareth Barry to Manchester City, while they captured still injured Stewart Downing. The Villans lost 0-2 at home to Wigan and then 0-1 at Rapid Vienna in the Europa League play-off. They'll play the return leg of that one on Thursday at Villa Park.
Liverpool are unbeaten in 16 top-flight games against Aston Villa. The Reds have won more points against the Villans than any other club (62). The corresponding fixture last season finished 5-0, with Steven Gerrard netting a hat-trick. The Liverpool captain managed to score 10 times against Villa in his career, his biggest tally against any one club.
I tip Liverpool to nick this one. The value is decent at 5/11.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Sunderland vs Chelsea
English Premier League, 20h45
Sunderland has a new boss Steve Bruce and two good signings in Bent and Cana. They managed to win away at Bolton 1-0 at the weekend.
Chelsea didn't spend much in the summer but appointed Italian Carlo Ancelotti as manager. He won Uefa Champions League twice as coach of Milan and the Champions Cup as player of the same team. The Blues will rely on the power of Drogba, Terry and Essien and the magic provided by Lampard & Co.
I tip Chelsea to win at 1/2.

Monday, August 03, 2009

Sunday, August 02, 2009

Ceahlaul vs Steaua
Romanian Liga I, 19h45
The hosts are a promoted team to the Romanian top-flight. Still, they do have some experience as they have been in the 2nd Division only for one year after 10+ years in Liga I. Ceahlaul has the home advantage, but Steaua had a great start of the season.
It's early days in the league, this being the first game for the two sides, but the guests have already played three games this season in the preliminary rounds of the Uefa Europa League. Steaua managed to score 7 without conceding and played fairly well in the process. The credit has to be given to new coach Cristiano Bergodi who inspires passion for the game and a positive approach to the tactical side.
I tip Steaua to win this one, with values around 1/2.

Friday, June 19, 2009

I have to brag about an extraordinary success rate of 70,63%
(303 successful tips out of 429 made) .

Sunday, May 31, 2009

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Chelsea vs Everton
English FA Cup, 16h00
This is the Final of the world's oldest competition. This is Everton's chance to get a trophy after 14 years. They have won the same competition in 1995 beating Man Utd. David Moyes is a very good manager, having finished fifth in the league this season, just outside the UCL spots.
Chelsea has finished third in the league, has been eliminated by Barcelona in the Semifinals of the UCL in the most dramatic way. They have to win this. Frank Lampard said after being defeated in the last second of the game against Barcelona just by the away goal "We must carry on".
This is Guus Hiddink's last game at Chelsea. Terry said he gave up asking the manager to stay at Chelsea only at the 20th time they talked about it.
I tip Chelsea to win the Cup, at 1/2.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Shakhtar Donetk vs Werder Bremen
Uefa Cup Final, 20h45
I picked this game because it will be an entertaining one. Think of the venue, the Sukru Saracioglu Stadium in Istanbul. That's the home stadium of Fenerbahce. The passion for football in Turkey is bigger than in any other part of the world and you cannot get a more passionate atmosphere than at this venue.
Both outfits overcame opponents from their respective countries in the Semifinals. And all 4 matches for full of drama. That's probably why there are some suspended players in the two squads: Hubschmann for the Ukranian side; Diego and Hugo Almeida for the Germans. Also German international Per Mertesacker is out injured for Werder Bremen.
I think Werder will be more affected by the absence of their Brazilian playmaker, while Mertesacker will be a huge loss from the defence. Captain Franck Baumann is also doubtful.
The Germans will put their faith in the Peruvian goalscorer Pizzarro, who is on loan from Chelsea. The Ukranians will try to get the ball to the Brazilians up-front: Ilsinho, Fernandinho, Jadson and Luiz Adriano.
Both managers have won European trophies. Thomas Schaaf won the Cup Winner's Cup as a player with the same side in 1992, while Mircea Lucescu won the European Supercup against Real Madrid in 1999.
I tip Shakhtar to win this trophy, with a price that is around 9/11.

Monday, May 18, 2009

Friday, May 15, 2009

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Poli Timisoara
Romanian Liga I, Sunday 19h30
Timisoara had a good season and find themselves in the title fight, a feat that they could not dream of. The guests have a balanced team, that managed to beat a weakened Dinamo side in the Romanian Cup Semifinal by 4-1. This time it should be different. Dinamo has a great record over Poli, having not lost against them for a decade, until this April in the match I mentioned earlier.
Dinamo has the chance to win the league and get to that incredible competition, the Uefa Champions League. Coach Mircea Rednic will field a very experienced side that will give everything to be sure they will find themselves at the top of the standings come the end of the season.
I tip Dinamo to win. The value is at around 9/11.

Friday, May 08, 2009

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Poli Iasi 4:0 FC Arges
Chelsea vs Barcelona
Uefa Champions League Semifinal 2nd leg, 20h45
This game will settle the team that will face Manchester United in the Final. These are two of the best teams in the world. Chelsea are for sure the best when you judge in terms of strength while Barca are the most attractive team, having score 146 goals to date in all competitions. Still in the first leg, it was 0-0 thanks to a realistic approach by the Blues.
Hiddink welcomes back Ashley Cole from suspension, while Guardiola will be without his two first choice center-backs, Marquez and Puyol.
It will be so tight as Ballack, Lampard and Essien take on Iniesta and Xavi; Ashley Cole and Florent Malouda will make Dani Alves and Messi suffer; Eto'o and Henry will try to test Cech, Alex and Terry. But I think Drogba will make the difference tonight, with one of his best performances.
I think Chelsea has the minor advantage as they play at home.

I tip Chelsea to qualify, priced at 5/4.
Poli Iasi vs FC Arges
Romanian Liga I, 14h00
Arges is a team that has no immediate goals. Today's guests are placed in the middle of the table with no chance to enter the European Cups and also safe from relegation. They have a young and talented squad, play good football, win mostly at home. They haven't won away since October.
Poli Iasi has to escape the relegation squad. The entertainers are coached by ex-Lazio footballer Cristiano Bergodi. They are very good at home.
I expect Iasi to win, with prices set at evens.

Saturday, May 02, 2009

Real Madrid 2:6 Barcelona
Dinamo 1:0 cfr
Dinamo vs cfr
Romanian Liga I, 19h45
Dinamo are leaders in the league and aim to play Champions League football come autumn. They are very powerful at home and just thrived when they played against attacking formations, like today. The visiting team are without their captain.
They beat Rapid 3-0 and one can expect quite a show is on the cards tonight.
I tip Dinamo to win, with a price set at 9/11.
Real Madrid vs Barcelona
Spanish Primera Division, 20h00
This is one of the most awaited matches on the planet. El Clasico. This year it will be so special, as Real Madrid managed to put a wonderful run and find themselves just 4 points behind leaders Barcelona.
Robben recovered from injury faster than expected and Los Merengues will welcome his presence. Raul & Co defeated Sevilla away last week 4-2 and had a whole week to prepare this game.
Barcelona are in the midst of a Semifinal clash with Chelsea. They also lost Rafa Marquez for the whole season. The Blaugrana can lose it all in just a matter of days. On Wednesday they play Chelsea away.
Real Madrid has got just this one aim. La Liga. This will be one hell of a footballing spectacle.
I predict more than 2,5 goals, valued at 8/11.

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Barcelona vs Chelsea
Uefa Champions League, 20h45
This is about pride, about rivalry, about success. Tonight footballing history will be written.
Barcelona are tipped as favourites to win the most coveted competition of all. They have a very talented squad, a dream team as most pundits will tell you. They scored 130 goals this season alone, with 90 of them coming from the trio playing up-front Messi, Eto'o and Henry. The midfield is also spectacular with talents like Iniesta and Xavi, who provide the avantgarde with assists. Theire real weakness seems to be the defence, where goalkeeper Valdes and centre backs Pique and Marquez are not world class.
Pep Guardiola has managed to control the team's drive for success and keep low the hype surrounding the Blaugrana, who are facing a daunting task this week. On Saturday they play Real Madrid away, whilst next Wednesday is the return leg of this Semifinal at Stamford Bridge.
These teams met several times in Europe in the last seasons. In two cases Barcelona progressed, while Chelsea defeated the Blaugrana under Mourinho, after a thrilling 4-2 show at the Bridge four seasons ago. There has always been balance between these two. Chelsea have scored 9 while Barca scored 7 in the last meetings.
Chelsea have recovered so well under caretaker manager Guus Hiddink. The Blues won 3-1 at Anfield in a scintilating display of power and control against Liverpool, after being one goal down. The way Lampard & Co played that game was extraordinary and must have put Guardiola on guard.
Didier Drogba looks rejuvenated; he has regained his joy, his morale. He knows he plays for the team. He is the spearhead of the Blues. His presence is so overwhelming for the opposite defence. Puyol and Marquez know that, as the Ivorian powerhouse has scored in the last 5 matches against them.
The fact that three of four teams remaining in this competition are English based is enough evidence for everyone to understand that Chelsea are no underdogs tonight. The sheer strength of Terry, Lampard and Drogba will blow Barcelona away.
I tip Chelsea to score away, valued at 6/11.

Saturday, April 25, 2009

Hull 1:3 Liverpool
Hull vs Liverpool
English Premier League, 16h00
Although Hull was 6th in the tables on Boxing Day, they went all the way down having big troubles to retain their place in the top flight for next season. The Tigers really look dreadful in 2008.
Liverpool are hoping to win the title, which is only Manchester United's to lose. The Reds will miss Gerrard, but they had a good season and Fernando Torres will prove his worth today.
I tip Liverpool to win; at 5/11.

Friday, April 24, 2009

Farul 1:4 Dinamo
Farul vs Dinamo
Romanian Liga I, 17h00
These two teams are in opposite situations. Farul are in the relegation zone with little chances of surviving, whilst Dinamo are top of the league day-dreaming of Uefa Champions League football come September.
The fixtures between these two have always been tight, but Farul are awful these days. They have also a very bad pitch that will not suit Dinamo; still I expect the leaders to win even by only one goal and put pressure on the chasers.
I tip Dinamo to win, at 6/11.

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Barcelona vs Sevilla
Spanish Primera Division, 22h00
Barcelona are top of the league standings, 3 points ahead of Real Madrid. But they'll take next on 4 best teams in Spain: Sevilla, Valencia, Real Madrid, Villarreal. And also the UCL Semifinal clash against Chelsea. Of course they are close to full strength, as their only absentee is Abidal.
Sevilla are third in the league and trying to stay there as that place takes them to the UCL groups. They have lost 2 in a row at home to Getafe and at Valencia, but both were in the dying minutes of the games. With Jesus Navas fit, as well as Luis Fabiano and Kanoute, the Andalusians are always a heavy proposition for any opponent, including the Blaugrana.
I expect Barca to win, but it could turn into a big surprise.
I tip Sevilla to score, valued at 6/11.

Saturday, April 18, 2009

Friday, April 17, 2009

Vaslui vs Timisoara
Romanian Liga I, tomorrow 17h30
The hosts are playing good physical football. They have a young coach and a very solid midfield. They use a 4-4-2 formation with very skillful and quick wings that opens up their game so much. The strikers are powerful and very good in aerial combat.
Vaslui fight for a European spot for the second year in a row and have a very good chance to get it, but they need to win every point to be sure of that.
Timisoara are second in the standings with a chance to win the title. They lost just twice in the league, but the schedule looks to get to them, as this is the 5th game in two weeks and a number of players admitted after Wednesday's Cup game that they are tired.
Last season's corresponding fixture finished 3-0 for the hosts. Don't expect that margin again, but go for Vaslui to clinch it and tighten up things at the top of the table.
I tip Vaslui to win, with a value at about 3/2.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Porto vs Manchester United
Uefa Champions League Quarter Final 2nd Leg, 20h45
After the draw everyone tipped United to progress from this tie. And even now, after the 1st leg most people go with the defending champions. Still, there are some stats that make Porto favourites. The most important are the ones that shows their brilliance in stopping United's attack at Old Trafford a week ago. In doing so, they were very offensive also, managing more shots on goal and more corners than the hosts did. The Portuguese team lead for most of the match, and when they were eventually trailling, they had the strength to pull themselves together and equalise in the final minutes.
So the momentum is really with Porto now. There are also more feats to be taken seriously. Porto are undefeated at home to English clubs in the European Cups. And that means eleven matches. They also managed to defeat United in 2004, when they went to win the most coveted European trophy guided by Jose Mourinho. Also, in the last years, the UCL reigning champions haven't made it to the Semifinal stage the next season.
Rio Ferdinand and Berbatov are back in the squad after injuries, but United players seem to have lost momentum. And if a couple of months ago there were voices that told us of a possible quintuple, now the Red Devils should be scared because they risk losing not only the UCL, but also the domestic title to a Liverpool side that is in-form and seeks the crown for almost 20 years now.
I tip Porto to go through, which is valued at about 10/11.

Sunday, March 22, 2009

Univ Craiova 4:1 cfr
Liverpool 5:0 Aston Villa
Univ Craiova vs cfr
Romanian Liga I, 19h45
Craiova have a very young and talented team, that made very good progress under Italian coach Nicolo Napoli. They are very powerful at home.
The visitors are looking to keep in touch with the leading pack, but are faltering and seem to have internal problems also. The Portuguese players are accusing the Argentines that they don't give everything for the team. Their game isn't impressive at all and I cannot see them winning tonight in a full packed stadium.
I tip Craiova not to lose tonight, with a value as high as 6/11.
Liverpool vs Aston Villa
English Premier League, 17h00
Aston Villa are in a slump right now, having not won in six successive games. Still they were joint fourth with Arsenal coming into the week-end. They have a small squad and fatigue is getting the better of them.
Liverpool won 4-1 at Old Trafford last week to regain their title hopes. Torres and Gerrard will turn on the show again today. They started only 7 games together this season, but did very well by scoring 11 goals between them. The Reds can come just won point behind United if they win.
Liverpool is unbeaten against the first five in the league.
I tip Liverpool to win, at 1/2.

Friday, March 20, 2009

FC Arges 2:2 Steaua
FC Arges vs Steaua
Romanian Liga I, 19h45
Today I am betting again against Steaua. They are bad away from home, but the bookies keep making them favourites. That is because they have the most titles in Romanian football.
Steaua managed only 2 wins away all season and has a low quality squad.
FC Arges are good at home, winning 5 drawing 4 and losing none. They have very good young talents and I tip them to have a good game tonight.
I tip FC Arges not to lose, valued at 7/11.

Sunday, March 15, 2009

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid
Spanish Primera Division, 22h00
Real Madrid were trounced 4-0 at Anfield. They need to bounce back and that is not good news for the hosts.
Los Merengues have won their last 5 against today's opponents. Real Madrid trail leaders Barca by 6 points. The domestic league is the only chance for them to get any silverware this season.
Cannavaro, gago and Guti are out for the guests.
I tip Raul & Co to win, at 11/10.

Friday, March 13, 2009

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Dynamo Kyiv vs Metalist
Uefa Cup, 18h00
Metalist have been brilliant in reaching this stage of the competition. They ousted Sampdoria in the last round, 3-0 on aggregate. Also, they have not conceded in their previous six. But they face familiar opposition now.
It's the most successful team in Ukraine, Dynamo Kyiv. A team that has produced great talent, like Andriy Shevchenko. They qualified after winning on away goals against Valencia. Artem Kravets is the danger man up-front, scoring 4 times in 3 matches, including once in a 2-0 win at Metalist in the domestic league.
I tip Dynamo to win, at 4/5.
Barcelona 5:2 Lyon

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Barcelona vs Lyon
Champions League, 20h45
In the first leg it finished 1-1. Barcelona are in search of glory, while Lyon has a good UCL record, reaching the Quarterfinals three years in a row.
Barcelona will be without Pujol, but Guardiola stated that the Blaugrana must go in search of the goal, even though a goalless draw would see them through. The talent is so high across the squad, with Messi, Henry, Eto'o, Iniesta and Xavi. Daniel Alves will always push forward on the right-hand side.
With the very large pitch at the Nou Camp, I think Lyon does not stand a chance in front of the hosts' technical superiority.
I tip Barca to win, at 5/11.

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Liverpool 4:0 Real Madrid
Liverpool vs Realmadrid
Uefa Champions League 1st knock-out round 2nd leg, 20h45
This is such an interesting game to watch. It will be so tight. But still, I have made up my mind on the outcome.
Liverpool have a one goal cushion from the first leg played at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Benitez is known for his tactical approach to the game and the manner in which his troops grind out results. Benayoun is injured for the Reds, while Fernando Torres will play a part in this game only if his presence is needed, as he is recovering from an ankle injury. Daniel Agger is also out. Gerrard will be the best man for the hosts once again.
Realmadrid are trying to get something from this one. Raul has called this match the game of the season, marking that they have to score twice. Juande Ramos will field his best eleven tonight, as he welcomes back defender Pepe from suspension. Robben is fully recovered from injury.
This will be a very entertaining match, with the Spanish giants attacking and Liverpool pushing forward all the time. We will witness outstanding goalkeeping from two of the best keepers in the world, Pepe Reina and Iker Casillas.
I reckon Liverpool are strong favourites for this clash. Still,
I tip this match to finish with under 2.5 goals. The price is 3/5.

Sunday, March 08, 2009

FC Brasov 1:0 Steaua
FC Brasov vs Steaua
Romanian Liga I, 14h00
Brasov is one of the best home sides in the Romanian Liga I, being undefeated. In addition to that I can state they are one of the best defensive teams. Razvan Lucescu is a hard-working coach, with good performances also in European football. He took Rapid to the QUarterfinals of the Uefa Cup, two years ago.
Steaua are not that good away for some time now, even though every year they challenge for the title. Captain Radoi, the spirit of the team was sold to Al Hilal. They also have some missing players with coach Marius Lacatus suspended.
I predict Brasov will not lose, with prices as high as 1/2.

Saturday, March 07, 2009

Realmadrid 1:1 Atletico
Realmadrid vs Atletico Madrid
Spanish Primera Division, 20h00
Tonight, the Spanish capital will split for the match between bitter rivals, Realmadrid and Atletico. It is not so much about the standings, but as in other derbies is about passion. 
The stats say that Real are favourites, as they won for the last 3 times against Atletico, with the previous two being draws. The hosts are second to Barca in the standings four points behind and have put together a great run of 10 consecutive League wins. 
Both teams will play the return leg away next week in the first knock-out round of the Champions League, but with difficult tasks as Real are travelling to Liverpool with a goal deficit, while Atletico are equal with Porto, 2-2.
Atletico has beaten Barca 4-3 last week, but Real Madrid have a tighter defence which does not suit Aguero or Forlan. Raul has a very good scoring record against today's rivals.
Robben and Gago are out for Realmadrid.
I predict a win for Realmadrid, priced at 7/10.

Wednesday, March 04, 2009

Tuesday, March 03, 2009

Portsmouth vs Chelsea
English Premier League, 20h45
Portsmouth have somehow got their morale back under caretaker manager Hart. Pompey managed 4 points out of their last 2 games. But now they are facing Chelsea.
A revived Chelsea side under Hiddink which looks very very strong at the moment. It is good to see Drogba running so much. Of course, the Blues got a big scare when they were equalized by Wigan at Stamford Bridge ten minutes from time, but they showed a lot of confidence as they managed to win that game. That puts them 7 points adrift of Manchester United with 3 wins out of 3. Ricardo Carvalho is still out, while Essien is very close to full fitness.
I tip Chelsea to win tonight, with a price about 3/5.

Monday, March 02, 2009

My stats read an impressive prediction rate of 70.44%
(286 successful tips out of 406).

Saturday, February 28, 2009

Espanyol vs Real Madrid
Spanish Primera Division, 22h00
Espanyol made a great match, winning 2-1 at the Camp Nou last Saturday. But they will have to take another approach tonight as Realmadrid are coming to town.
Los Merengues lost to Liverpool, but they are second in La Liga and have it all to fight. With three points tonight, they can come within 4 points off Barcelona, who play at Atletico on Sunday.
Gago was left out of the squad, as Robben will most probably start this match, alongside Raul and Higuain.
I tip Realmadrid to win, at 9/10.
Middlesbrough vs Liverpool
English Premier League, 16h00
Liverpool have managed a great result on Wednesday, winning 1-0 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in Madrid in the 1st leg of the first knock-out round of the Champions League. But it came at a great cost as goalscorer Fernando Torres was injured and hasn't made the trip to Boro. Steven Gerrard only played the last ten minutes, as he is recovering from an injury.
The hosts are on a woeful run, as they have not won in 14 top-flight games. But they managed a win in midweek in the FA Cup. And that should have boosted their morale. Striker Aliadiere is in contention for his first start in 2009.
These two teams have drawn the last two times they've met at Riverside.
I tip Boro to get at least a point of this one, with values around 9/11.
Internazionale 0:0 Manchester United